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Smart Reasoning:

C&E

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Qaagi - Book of Why

Causes

Effects

Factorscausingoptimism bias to a person

US researchersdiscoveredpotential optimistic bias

Their incomplete pictureleadsto an unfortunate optimism bias

the Nobel prize winner Daniel Kahneman describing the idea that most people consider themselves less likely to experience something unpleasant(passive) was invented byThe term optimism bias

to complement and encourage existing good practice(passive) is designedAdjustments for optimism bias

by Martin Hill(passive) led byoptimism set off

Factorscausingoptimism bias

Factorscontributeto Optimism bias

But it also points outmay have ledto optimism bias

a tendencyto resultin some optimism bias

humans are by natureinfluencedby an optimism bias

by taking the inside - view and(passive) is caused byoptimism bias

probably(passive) is ... influencedoptimism bias

a falling infection ratehas promptedoptimism among

Talidiscoveredthe " optimism bias

Psychologists and social scientistsdiscoveredthe optimism bias

by taking the inside - view and ignoring distributional information when making decisions(passive) is caused byoptimism bias

taking the inside - view and ignoring distributional information when making decisions(passive) is caused byoptimism bias

training in situations where the driver perceives that risks can be controlled by their driving skills(passive) can be positively influenced byThe optimism bias

Internally focussed estimatesleadto more optimism bias

initial indicationsare ... settoward optimism

The factorsleadingto the optimistic bias

important variablesinfluenceoptimistic bias

your cultureinfluencesyour optimistic bias

the algorithmcausesan optimistic bias

by control or delay(passive) influenced byoptimistic bias

possibly(passive) is ... influencedThe optimistic bias

Absolute survival proportionscauseda pessimistic bias

so stronglyinfluencesoptimism / pessimism

the main factorsleadingoptimism to weaken

Industry - Related News Recent housing trendscausecautious optimism

a sample that was as similar as possible on key variablescould influenceoptimism / pessimism

several key factorsmay leadto undue optimism

2012 Recent housing trendscausecautious optimism

The developmentspromptedcautious optimism

The strong increase in incoming orders ( 24 % ) as well as the great interest in our announced product innovations continueto causeoptimism

The strong increase in incoming orders ( 24 per cent ) as well as the great interest in announced product innovations continueto causeoptimism

The strong increase in incoming orders ( 24 % ) as well as the great interest in our announced product innovations around artificial intelligence as an app for industrial cameras , novelties for 3D applications , and robot vision continueto causeoptimism

by people who are playing a different financial game than they are(passive) to be influenced byoptimism

The recent announcement of a possible meeting between Trump and Kim Jong - Unhas causedoptimism

to past financial crises and the failure of individuals to look after themselvesto have contributedto past financial crises and the failure of individuals to look after themselves

to positive outcomesmay contributeto positive outcomes

someone to believe that they themselves are less likely to experience a negative eventcausessomeone to believe that they themselves are less likely to experience a negative event

a person to believe that they by themselves are less likely to working experiencecausesa person to believe that they by themselves are less likely to working experience

oftenleadsoften

a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to otherscausesa person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others

a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others causesa person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others

a person to believe that they are less at risk of experiencing a negative event compared to otherscausesa person to believe that they are less at risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others

a person to believe that they are less at risk of experiencing a negative event compared to otherscausesa person to believe that they are less at risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others

a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others Learn more about your ad choicescausesa person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others Learn more about your ad choices

a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others Learn more about your ad choicescausesa person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others Learn more about your ad choices

us to believe we are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to otherscausesus to believe we are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others

some people to underestimate their likelihood to experience a negative eventcausessome people to underestimate their likelihood to experience a negative event

a person to believe that they 're less at risk of experiencing a negative event compared to otherscausesa person to believe that they 're less at risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others

in cost overrunsmay resultin cost overruns

humans to think that the likelihood of a negative event is lower than it really isleadshumans to think that the likelihood of a negative event is lower than it really is

people to overestimate the likelihood of positive outcomes and to underestimate the likelihood of negative outcomesleadspeople to overestimate the likelihood of positive outcomes and to underestimate the likelihood of negative outcomes

individuals to underestimate serious riskscan causeindividuals to underestimate serious risks

peopleleadspeople

peopleleadspeople

ideas and opportunities that are possibleto discoverideas and opportunities that are possible

traders to think that they are above - average traders , simply because they are optimistic people in general , or to believe that they are above average in other areas of their life , such as driving ability or social skills , which could further lead to overconfidence biascan causetraders to think that they are above - average traders , simply because they are optimistic people in general , or to believe that they are above average in other areas of their life , such as driving ability or social skills , which could further lead to overconfidence bias

us to believe that we are at a lesser risk of experiencing obstacles during our projectcausesus to believe that we are at a lesser risk of experiencing obstacles during our project

us to under - rate these mechanismscausesus to under - rate these mechanisms

to underestimated future riskoften leadsto underestimated future risk

decisionscan influencedecisions

consumers to believe In my viewcausesconsumers to believe In my view

oftenleadsoften

oftenwill ... leadoften

problemscan causeproblems

our livesinfluencesour lives

individualsleadsindividuals

participants to believe their case is stronger and their chance ofmay leadparticipants to believe their case is stronger and their chance of

to over - estimation of favorable outcomesleadsto over - estimation of favorable outcomes

more likely(passive) to be influenced bymore likely

Demand overestimation(passive) is caused byDemand overestimation

an empirical studyleadsan empirical study

alwaysleadsalways

to short termcan leadto short term

parentscan influenceparents

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Smart Reasoning:

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