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Smart Reasoning:

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Qaagi - Book of Why

Causes

Effects

higher estimates ... a mistaketo setpolicy based solely on low estimates

an unrealistically low - cost " reference case " assumptioncausesEIA 's estimates of multipollutant policies to be grossly overstated

these modelscreateestimates that are deliberately intended to over - estimate exposure

Probabilistic analyses can be easily constructed , either by indifference , ignorance or manipulationto resultin estimates of Proved reserves higher than deterministic estimates

This influx of new enrolleesleadstens of thousands over the proponents ’ estimates

a strategywill createpolicy - based evidence , rather than evidence - based policy

For example , the data on British populations has so far failed to separate those with Danish Viking ancestry from descendants of earlier Anglo - Saxon immigrationleadingto population estimates at odds with the archaeological evidence

to turn them to the service of assumption and dogmato createpolicy - based evidence rather than evidence - based policy

the " @ " commandto setstandardized estimates rather than unstandardized estimates

in our opinionwill createin our opinion

a reasonable chance of avoiding the very worst impacts of climate changeto createa reasonable chance of avoiding the very worst impacts of climate change

in lower credibilityresultingin lower credibility

to incorrect or ineffective public health decisionscan leadto incorrect or ineffective public health decisions

in savingsresultedin savings

to lost business opportunitiesleadto lost business opportunities

on the basis of then available government forecasts for emissions and air trafficwould contributeon the basis of then available government forecasts for emissions and air traffic

to mistakescan leadto mistakes

oftenledoften

the customer to abandon the purchase due to slow postage methodsmay causethe customer to abandon the purchase due to slow postage methods

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Smart Reasoning:

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