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Smart Reasoning:

C&E

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Qaagi - Book of Why

Causes

Effects

the price forecastingresulta high forecasting error

type of the daymay causea large forecasting error

abnormal weather ... the factorscan causeunnecessary forecast error

various costs and trading lossessetamount of forecasting error

the timeto discovera forecast error

the factorscontributedto forecast error

by C.(passive) was ... influencedprediction error

which variableis contributingto the forecast error

A factorcontributedto the forecast error

Forecast biasresultsfrom a forecast error

both the underlying variability and uncertaintycontributesto forecast error

in the written forecast document(passive) are setforecast error

by the disturbance(passive) caused byprediction error

external system factorscontributingto forecasting error

by the beam approximation(passive) caused byprediction error

changes in conditions that generated the past data(passive) can be caused byForecast errors

trendsresultsin forecast error

what ... bad forecasting model or bad forecast of the variables used by the modelcausesforecast errors

Revision of past forecastsleadsto forecast error

by smoothing coefficient(passive) caused byprediction error

An error in assumptionsmay resultin forecasting error

by the boom(passive) were ... influenced byThis forecast error

by the model errors(passive) caused bythe forecast errors

model errorscontributeto forecast errors

always lag trendsresultsin forecast error

lack of stability of coefficientscausedforecast failure

the factorscausedforecast errors

the modelcausedthe forecasting error

the errorscontributingto forecast errors

is less than the actualleadingto a forecasting error

This pattern of forecast errors ... country characteristicsmay ... influenceforecast errors

forecast is more than the actual ) , or under - forecast ( forecast is less than the actualleadingto a forecasting error

by fabric style adjustment(passive) caused bythe forecast error

the effects ... parameter uncertaintycontributeto forecast errors

1do ... leadto forecast errors

No simulationcauseserrors in the forecast

by special samples(passive) caused bythe forecasting error

cyclescausedforecast errors

No simulation is perfectcauseserrors in the forecast

The supply chain challenge met by the companyis kind of resultingfrom the forecasting error

to higher desired customer level servicesleadsto higher desired customer level services

performance lossmay ... causeperformance loss

from the use of current forward rates asresultsfrom the use of current forward rates as

the loss(passive) caused bythe loss

to an inaccurate generation predictionleadto an inaccurate generation prediction

from initial data uncertaintiesoriginatingfrom initial data uncertainties

you to run out of stockcauseyou to run out of stock

to high confidence intervalsleadingto high confidence intervals

you to carry too much inventorycan also causeyou to carry too much inventory

eithermay ... resulteither

serious impactmight causeserious impact

frequent product shortagescausedfrequent product shortages

the uncertainties(passive) caused bythe uncertainties

to policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequencescan contributeto policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequences

to policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequencescan contributeto policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequences

imbalance(passive) caused byimbalance

inefficiencieswill causeinefficiencies

from errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider herecan originatefrom errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider here

from errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere , grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider in this papercan originatefrom errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere , grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider in this paper

to the possible robustification of forecastsleadingto the possible robustification of forecasts

stockoutscausestockouts

strongly asymmetric costscausesstrongly asymmetric costs

from the conditional mean and volatility specificationsresultfrom the conditional mean and volatility specifications

to large expenses for the utility from excess fuel consumption or emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilitiescould leadto large expenses for the utility from excess fuel consumption or emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilities

to errors in planningleadto errors in planning

to policy errors with consequences throughout the economycan thus leadto policy errors with consequences throughout the economy

to policy errors with consequences throughout the economycan thus leadto policy errors with consequences throughout the economy

to huge amounts of money being lost due to incorrect funding decisionscan leadto huge amounts of money being lost due to incorrect funding decisions

in lossesresultsin losses

Incorrect inventory mix(passive) is usually caused byIncorrect inventory mix

the goals of the organizationdoes ... influencethe goals of the organization

to utility expenses ranging from excess fuel consumption to emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilitiesmay leadto utility expenses ranging from excess fuel consumption to emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilities

to bad planning which can becan leadto bad planning which can be

risks(passive) caused byrisks

in excess merchandise or out - of - stock products and missed opportunitiescan resultin excess merchandise or out - of - stock products and missed opportunities

thuscan ... leadthus

the agencycausedthe agency

reduced cash spend(passive) caused byreduced cash spend

loss of optimal systemcauseloss of optimal system

to under - preparation or over - preparationmay leadto under - preparation or over - preparation

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Smart Reasoning:

C&E

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