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Smart Reasoning:

C&E

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Qaagi - Book of Why

Causes

Effects

that is highleadsto high forecast error

high varianceleadsto high forecast error

variance that is highleadsto high forecast error

Complexity in demand modelingleadingto high forecast error

the price forecastingresulta high forecasting error

type of the daymay causea large forecasting error

abnormal weather ... the factorscan causeunnecessary forecast error

the method to target tax revenue ... updated assumptions and personal judgmentscan leadto huge forecast error

various costs and trading lossessetamount of forecasting error

the least squares regressionleadsto the least forecast error

the shock(passive) caused bythe initial forecast error

Promotions , out of stocks , and abnormal weather ... the factorscan causeunnecessary forecast error

the first factorcausesa prediction error

ProgramresultsPrediction Error

by a strong edge and noise in the reference region(passive) caused byA prediction error

inputcausingprediction error

the timeto discovera forecast error

the factorscontributeto the forecast error

the factorscontributedto forecast error

only one shockleadsto a forecast error

The simple displacement of a set of pixels or blockoften causesa prediction error

by C.(passive) was ... influencedprediction error

to determinehow ... is influencedprediction error

by permutation of a certain variable(passive) caused byprediction error

which variableis contributingto the forecast error

by performing forward prediction(passive) caused bya prediction error

A factorcontributedto the forecast error

Forecast biasresultsfrom a forecast error

both the underlying variability and uncertaintycontributesto forecast error

in the written forecast document(passive) are setforecast error

by the disturbance(passive) caused byprediction error

external system factorscontributingto forecasting error

by the beam approximation(passive) caused byprediction error

changes in conditions that generated the past data(passive) can be caused byForecast errors

factors and mistakes do not seemto causeforecast failure

trendsresultsin forecast error

what ... bad forecasting model or bad forecast of the variables used by the modelcausesforecast errors

by large fluctuations of raw data(passive) caused byprediction error

Revision of past forecastsleadsto forecast error

by smoothing coefficient(passive) caused byprediction error

in the agencycould resultin the agency

to investors under - reaction to unexpected earningsmeanwhile ... may leadto investors under - reaction to unexpected earnings

One more information ... prediction errorcan causeOne more information ... prediction error

to higher desired customer level servicesleadsto higher desired customer level services

performance lossmay ... causeperformance loss

from the use of current forward rates asresultsfrom the use of current forward rates as

the loss(passive) caused bythe loss

to an inaccurate generation predictionleadto an inaccurate generation prediction

from initial data uncertaintiesoriginatingfrom initial data uncertainties

you to run out of stockcauseyou to run out of stock

in a more reliable prediction models obtainedresultsin a more reliable prediction models obtained

to high confidence intervalsleadingto high confidence intervals

you to carry too much inventorycan also causeyou to carry too much inventory

eithermay ... resulteither

in a 3.3 % rate reductionresultingin a 3.3 % rate reduction

serious impactmight causeserious impact

frequent product shortagescausedfrequent product shortages

the uncertainties(passive) caused bythe uncertainties

to policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequencescan contributeto policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequences

to policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequencescan contributeto policy errors that increase volatility with widespread economic consequences

imbalance(passive) caused byimbalance

inefficiencieswill causeinefficiencies

from errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider herecan originatefrom errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider here

inefficiencies in the firmwill causeinefficiencies in the firm

from errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere , grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider in this papercan originatefrom errors in the initial conditions that , due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere , grow with time , or from model deficiencies ( which we do not consider in this paper

to the possible robustification of forecastsleadingto the possible robustification of forecasts

uncertain demand(passive) caused byuncertain demand

stockoutscausestockouts

strongly asymmetric costscausesstrongly asymmetric costs

from the conditional mean and volatility specificationsresultfrom the conditional mean and volatility specifications

to large expenses for the utility from excess fuel consumption or emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilitiescould leadto large expenses for the utility from excess fuel consumption or emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilities

from comparing actual sensory inputs with predicted patterns of activations generated by the systemresultingfrom comparing actual sensory inputs with predicted patterns of activations generated by the system

to errors in planningleadto errors in planning

to policy errors with consequences throughout the economycan thus leadto policy errors with consequences throughout the economy

to policy errors with consequences throughout the economycan thus leadto policy errors with consequences throughout the economy

to huge amounts of money being lost due to incorrect funding decisionscan leadto huge amounts of money being lost due to incorrect funding decisions

in lossesresultsin losses

Incorrect inventory mix(passive) is usually caused byIncorrect inventory mix

the goals of the organizationdoes ... influencethe goals of the organization

to utility expenses ranging from excess fuel consumption to emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilitiesmay leadto utility expenses ranging from excess fuel consumption to emergency purchases of electricity from neighboring utilities

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Smart Reasoning:

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